The Threat Against Israel July 14, 2007Posted by Watchman in Isaiah 17, Islam, Israel.
If Israel attacks Iran, Assad will attack Israel with proxy forces from Hizbollah in Lebanon and his own in the Golan, so may Egypt and Jordan, in a repeat of the Yom Kippur war. They saw Israel consumed on one front and tried to open another. We know what happened there. Israel’s military has completely re-written its op-plan after last summer’s war. It is likely that its generals will be told to go “hot” and use everything in their power to win. This could mean battlefield nukes or even a strategic nuclear attack on Damascus (the anticipated Is. 17).Think also about what may happen in Pakistan. We are probably looking at having to send in ground forces to Islamabad Karachi to secure nuclear technology in the wake of a collapse of Musharraf’s government. A US involvement in Iran will undoubtedly result in the ejection or assassination of Musharraf. If we fail to secure Pakistan’s nukes, we’re in big trouble and so is Israel. This is probably the only pin keeping the grenade from going off.
The US does not want a regional war because it means that we have to secure Iraq against an exodus of Syrian refugees into Anbar, it means we have to take on the Iranian Navy, it means we have to defend the Straits of Hormuz, and it means that we may even be attacked by Israel in the process.
Israel has allegedly come darn close to attacking its American ally in Iraq, in an attempt to drop a 20 kiloton weapon on Hamadan, a major Iranian weapons base. In essence, this whole thing is a powder keg waiting to go off, and I wouldn’t put anything past Assad. If major fighting breaks out, most in the region will likely consider it all or nothing. I don’t think this will be the Ezekiel 38/39 war (the magog force will take time to assemble… but they rehearsed it in late 2006), but it could pre-announce it by only a few weeks or months. If there is an attack against Iran or Syria, it will probably be brief and devastating to both Syria and Iran.
Here’s a little graphic I cooked up to show the threat more visually. Feedback welcome.